Solar panels in SwedenSweden solar calculator and 2026 figures
A 6 kWp system on a typical roof in Sweden generates 5,700 kWh a year, worth SEK 6,037 in the first year against SEK 94,350 spent up front. Everything below shows how that is worked out, on real climate data and this year's actual tariffs.
Where the money comes from
5,643 kWh in year oneEvery kilowatt-hour your roof makes is worth one of two very different amounts. Power you use as it is generated replaces power you would have bought, so it is worth the full retail price. Power you do not use goes to the grid at the export rate, which is far lower. The balance between those two is what actually decides whether solar pays here.
- Used in the house
- 1,693 kWh (30% of output) at 2.400 SEK/kWh, the retail price you avoid paying.
- Sold to the grid
- 3,950 kWh (70% of output) at 0.500 SEK/kWh, the export rate your supplier pays.
Averaged out, each kilowatt-hour is worth 1.070 SEK/kWh. That blended figure, not the headline retail price, is what drives every number on this page. Using more of your own power (an EV, a heat pump, a battery, or simply running appliances by day) shifts output from the lavender side to the mint side and raises it.
A year on the roof
950 kWh per kWp · PVGIS-SARAH3Output is not spread evenly. June is the strongest month at 826 kWh, 11.8× what December manages at 70 kWh. Annual totals hide that swing, which is why a system sized purely on your yearly bill tends to overshoot in summer and undershoot in winter.
The 25-year picture
- Everything the system saves and earns
- SEK 129,561
- What you pay up front
- − SEK 94,350
- Left over
- SEK 35,211
25 years of avoided bills plus export payments, after maintenance and one inverter replacement.
Install cost after SEK 16,650 of grant.
Straight subtraction, ignoring the fact that money arriving 25 years from now is worth less than money today.
Same result, in today's money
-SEK 15,575SEK 35,211 spread over 25 years is not worth SEK 35,211 today, because you could have done something else with the money in the meantime. Discounting future savings at 4% a year gives -SEK 15,575, the net present value. It is the honest number to compare against another investment, and the equivalent annual return is 2.5%.
When you break even
Your position starts at minus SEK 94,350 on install day and climbs as the system earns. The line crossing zero is the payback point.
Cumulative cash position
Break-even in year 20Net position after each year (−net capex up front, then cumulative savings). Crossing the dashed line is payback.
How that figure is built
No step here is a rule of thumb. Every one of them is the same code path the calculator runs on your own address.
Start with the weather, not a brochure
PVGIS-SARAH3 holds satellite-measured irradiance for this location. For a 6 kWp array at 35° facing south it works out to 950 kWh per kWp per year. That is the number a brochure would round up.
Scale it to the system
6 kWp × 950 kWh/kWp = 5,700 kWh a year. Panels lose about 1% in year one and 0.4% a year after, so year one is modelled at 5,643 kWh.
Price each kilowatt-hour twice
30% is used in the house at 2.400 SEK/kWh, the rest exported at 0.500 SEK/kWh. Together: SEK 6,037 in year one.
Subtract what you actually hand over
A 6 kWp install in Sweden runs about SEK 111,000, less SEK 16,650 of grant, so SEK 94,350 out of pocket.
Run it for 25 years, honestly
Electricity prices rise 2% a year, panels keep degrading, maintenance costs about 1% of the system price annually, and the inverter gets replaced once. Total savings come to SEK 129,561, clearing the upfront cost after 19.5 years.
What we assumed for Sweden
Change any of these and the answer changes. They are published so you can check them against your own bill and your own quote.
| System size modelled | 6 kWp at 35° facing south |
| Install cost before any grant | SEK 111,000 |
| Grant or incentive | Grön teknik tax reduction 15% (deducted on invoice, cap SEK 50,000/person/yr) |
| Net cost to you | SEK 94,350 |
| Electricity price you avoid paying | 2.400 SEK/kWh |
| Export rate paid to you | 0.500 SEK/kWh |
| Share used in the house | 30% of output |
| Electricity price inflation | 2% a year |
| Panel degradation | 1% in year one, then 0.4% a year |
| Maintenance | 1% of system cost a year, plus one inverter replacement |
| Discount rate for present value | 4% a year, real |
| CO₂ avoided | 46 kg a year · 1,076 kg over 25 years |
Estimate only, not a quote. Tariffs and grants change; figures use the rates on file for 2026 and an installer's survey will produce the exact number.
Questions people ask about solar in Sweden
- Is solar worth it in Sweden?
- A 6 kWp system in Sweden pays for itself in about 19.5 years and returns SEK 129,561 of savings over 25 years against SEK 94,350 spent up front. Your roof, orientation and shading move the result, which is what the calculator works out for your exact address.
- How much do solar panels cost in Sweden?
- About SEK 111,000 for a 6 kWp install, less SEK 16,650 of grant, so SEK 94,350 out of pocket. Installers quote against your specific roof, so treat this as the middle of the range.
- What do you get paid for exporting solar power in Sweden?
- Exports are modelled at 0.500 SEK/kWh against a retail import price of 2.400 SEK/kWh. Because exporting is worth much less than using the power yourself, how much you consume during daylight matters more than the size of the array.
Your roof is not the average roof
Orientation, pitch, shading and how much power you use by day move these numbers more than anything on this page. The calculator runs the same model on your actual address.
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For the incentives, tariffs and the 2026 rule changes in detail, read our Sweden solar guide.